My take on Dr. Paul Thomas’s idea that the decline in NAEP reading scores shows it is time for a new story by Dr. Sam Bommarito

The Science of Reading star has been rising for quite some time. See this chart from the Jan. 21st edition of Education Week LINK.


A quick glance at the chart shows that since 2019, sixteen states have mandated SOR practices. By 2021, another 14 states joined, bringing the number of states with three to five-year commitments to SOR practices up to 30. Given the promises made by SOR proponents and the number of districts adopting SOR practices in the past few years, one would expect substantial gains in reading scores nationally. Instead, NAEP scores have DROPPED to below pre-pandemic levels. Remember that those scores provide a long-term longitudinal look at national reading scores. Paul Thomas, a major critic of SOR, has written some posts on this very topic. Let’s look at some highlights from his recent posts.

Paul’s post provides a lot of well-researched information. This post is a must-read, and I suggest that my readers take the time to read the full post. I want to call attention to several important points he makes.
- “reading achievement on NAEP was flat during the balanced literacy era and now has dropped steadily during the SOR era”
- “NAEP “basic” is approximately grade level (although even that claim is problematic since no standard exists in the US for “proficient” or “grade level”), and “proficient” on NAEP is high:”
This point is especially important in light of a point he made in an earlier post LINK.
“As I have noted, NAEP achievement levels are confusing since “proficient” is well above grade level and “basic” tends to correlate with most state metrics for “proficient” (see here for a full explanation and state/NAEP correlations).”

MY TAKE- The bottom line is that the claim often made in the media that about 2/3 of our students are reading below grade level is completely inaccurate and greatly exaggerates the actual problem. Paul labels this as one of the “Big Lies” being told by SOR advocates.
- But a key element of the SOR story is often overlooked: “One of the excuses educators have long offered to explain America’s poor reading performance is poverty.”
- “In other words, the SOR story argues that the US has a reading crisis that is entirely the result of in-school policies and practices, that SOR-based reading instruction guarantees 95%+ of students will achieve reading proficiency.”
MY TAKE- The relationship between poverty and low reading achievement is well established. Yet SOR advocates downplay/ignore the impact of poverty on reading achievement. In addition, the claim that SOR-based instruction guarantees 95% of students will achieve reading achievement simply is not borne out by the longitudinal NAEP data In addition, England’s experience with synthetic phonics for over a decade has demonstrated that synthetic phonics is not the cure-all some make it out to be LINK.
I agree with Paul that it is time for a new story. It is time for the WHOLE STORY. It is time to look at ALL the research, not just that research that supports one side or the other’s point of view. My own opinion is that if we stay the course with the brand of SOR currently being mandated, the result will be yet another very expensive swing of the pendulum LINK.
I’ll say it again- it is time to stop taking sides. It is time to end the “Big Lies”. It is time to talk about what we can all agree on so we can find a path to improving the literacy performance of all students (see my blog last week, LINK). Dare to dream!
Happy Reading and Writing,
Dr. Sam Bommarito (aka, the guy in the center taking flak from all sides)
Copyright 2025 by Dr. Sam Bommarito. Views/interpretations expressed here are solely this author’s views and do not necessarily reflect the views of any other person or organization.
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